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What are asteroids? How real is the threat of them causing extinction of life?

Last Updated on Sep 27, 2024
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What are asteroids? How real is the threat of them causing extinction of life? What strategies have been developed to prevent such a catastrophe?

This topic explains the nature of asteroids, assesses the threat they pose to life on Earth, and outlines the strategies developed to mitigate the risk of an asteroid impact. It belongs to General Studies Paper III: Technology, Economic Development, Bio-diversity, Environment, Security and Disaster Management.

Approach:

  • Introduction: Define asteroids and give brief context on their significance in space.
  • Body:
    • Explain the nature of asteroid threats and historical precedents.
    • Discuss the probability and potential impact of an extinction-level event.
    • Elaborate on global strategies and technologies, including India’s efforts for detection and deflection.
  • Conclusion: Highlight the importance of global cooperation and ongoing initiatives to mitigate such risks.

Asteroids are small, rocky objects that orbit the Sun, primarily found in the asteroid belt between Mars and Jupiter. They vary in size, ranging from a few meters to hundreds of kilometers in diameter, and are remnants from the early solar system formation. Occasionally, some asteroids deviate from their orbits and pose potential threats to Earth.

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Threat of Asteroids Causing Extinction
  • Historical Evidence: The most notable asteroid impact occurred approximately 66 million years ago, leading to the extinction of the dinosaurs and over 75% of Earth's species. This event, caused by a 10-15 km wide asteroid, resulted in catastrophic climatic changes and mass extinction.
  • Current Threats: NASA and other space agencies constantly monitor near-Earth objects (NEOs). Though the probability of a large asteroid collision with Earth in the near future is low, even smaller asteroids can cause significant local damage. For example, the 2013 Chelyabinsk meteor in Russia, which was about 20 meters wide, caused widespread damage and injuries due to the shockwave from the explosion.

Strategies to Prevent Catastrophe

Early Detection Systems

  • NASA’s Near-Earth Object Program: Tracks potentially hazardous objects (PHOs) and has catalogued over 28,000 NEOs.
  • European Space Agency (ESA) and others: Global efforts are coordinated to improve surveillance capabilities using telescopes, radar, and satellites.
  • India’s Role: The Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO) has joined global efforts by enhancing its Space Situational Awareness (SSA) capabilities. ISRO has launched the Network for Space Object Tracking and Analysis (NETRA), which tracks space debris and NEOs. India is also planning to develop dedicated asteroid tracking systems.

Deflection Techniques

  • Kinetic Impact: NASA’s Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) in 2022 successfully tested this method by altering the orbit of the asteroid Dimorphos through a high-speed collision.
  • Gravity Tractor: A spacecraft can use gravitational attraction over time to gradually change an asteroid’s trajectory.
  • Nuclear Detonation: In extreme cases, nuclear explosions could be used to either break up or deflect an incoming asteroid. However, this is a last-resort strategy due to potential fragmentation risks.

Global Cooperation

  • United Nations Office for Outer Space Affairs (UNOOSA): Encourages international collaboration for space-based threat mitigation through platforms like the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN).
  • India's Contribution: ISRO collaborates with global agencies like NASA and the ESA to share data and jointly monitor asteroid threats.

Conclusion

The threat of asteroids causing an extinction event is real but rare. However, significant advances in early detection and deflection technologies, including India’s growing role in tracking NEOs, have been made. Continued international cooperation, technological innovation, and investment in planetary defense systems will be crucial in averting any future asteroid threats.

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