The chances of a defective screw in three boxes A, B, C are  and  respectively. A box is selected at random and a screw drawn from it at random is found to be defective. Find the probability that it came from box A.

Answer (Detailed Solution Below)

Option 3 :
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NDA 01/2025: English Subject Test
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Detailed Solution

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Let E1, E2 and E3 denote the events of selecting box A, B, C respectively and A be the event that a screw selected at random is defective.

Then,

P(E1) = P(E2) = P(E3) = 1/3,

Then, by Baye’s theorem, required probability

= P(E1/A)

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