"Although I am very happy to win the lottery, I am also a little worried. The last time I had won a lottery, my pocket was picked the next morning." Which logical fallacy is committed in the above argument?

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UGC NET Paper 1: Held on 2nd Mar 2023 Shift 1
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  1. Post hoc
  2. Hasty generalisation
  3. Red herring
  4. False alternative

Answer (Detailed Solution Below)

Option 1 : Post hoc
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UGC NET Paper 1: Held on 21st August 2024 Shift 1
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The correct answer is Post hoc.
Key PointsThe phrase "post hoc" is short for "post hoc ergo propter hoc", a Latin phrase which means "after this, therefore because of this."

  • This is a type of logical fallacy where one event is assumed to be the cause of a later event simply because it occurred earlier.

In the provided statement: "Although I am very happy to win the lottery, I am also a little worried.

  • The last time I had won a lottery, my pocket was picked the next morning," the speaker commits the post hoc fallacy by assuming that winning the lottery directly led to their pocket being picked.
  • Just because the speaker's pocket was picked after they won the lottery does not mean that winning the lottery was the cause of the pocket being picked.
  • The two events could be entirely unrelated, and without additional evidence, it is fallacious to assume that one caused the other.

Therefore, labeling this as a post hoc fallacy is correct because the speaker is making a causal assumption based on the sequence of events, not based on any demonstrated cause-and-effect relationship.

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