Question
Download Solution PDFWhich of the following method is used to forecast the population of old and very large city?
Answer (Detailed Solution Below)
Detailed Solution
Download Solution PDFExplanation:
Arithmetical increase method
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Assumes population increases by a constant number every decade.
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Suitable for old cities with slow, steady growth.
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Simple and widely used when growth has stabilized.
Additional InformationLogistic curve method
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Assumes rapid initial growth which slows down as saturation approaches.
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Best for very large cities nearing capacity.
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Involves a mathematical S-curve, more complex but realistic for long-term projection.
Graphical Method
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Plots past population data on a graph to estimate future growth.
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Useful for visual understanding but lacks precision.
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Relies on user judgment, not ideal for policy-level decisions.
Geometric Progression Method
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Assumes population increases at a constant percentage rate.
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Suitable for developing or new towns with high growth rates.
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Not suitable for old cities with slowing growth.
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