Box A contains 2 black and 3 red balls while box B contains 3 black and 4 red balls. Out of these two boxes one is selected at random and the probability of choosing box A is double that of box B. If a red ball is drawn from the selected box, then the probability that it has come from box B is

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Answer (Detailed Solution Below)

Option 4 :

Detailed Solution

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Concept:

Let A be the event of choosing box A, and B be the event of choosing box B, and R is the event of drawing a red ball.

Baye's theorem:

where

P(A) = Probability of event A.

P(B) = Probability of event B.

 = Probability of event R when event B already occur

 = Probability of event R when event A already occur

 = Probability of event B when event R already occur

Calculation:

Given:

    Box A

    Box B

2 Black

3 Red

3 Black

4 Red

P(A) = 2P(B), 

Now, the probability of drawing a ball from box B, provided it is a red ball

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